An Agent-Based Model for Zip-Code Level Diffusion of Electric Vehicles and Electricity Consumption in New York City

Azadeh Ahkamiraad and Yong Wang
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Azadeh Ahkamiraad: Department of Systems Science and Industrial Engineering, Binghamton University, Binghamton, NY 13902, USA
Yong Wang: Department of Systems Science and Industrial Engineering, Binghamton University, Binghamton, NY 13902, USA

Energies, 2018, vol. 11, issue 3, 1-17

Abstract: Current power grids in many countries are not fully prepared for high electric vehicle (EV) penetration, and there is evidence that the construction of additional grid capacity is constantly outpaced by EV diffusion. If this situation continues, then it will compromise grid reliability and cause problems such as system overload, voltage and frequency fluctuations, and power losses. This is especially true for densely populated areas where the grid capacity is already strained with existing old infrastructure. The objective of this research is to identify the zip-code level electricity consumption that is associated with large-scale EV adoption in New York City, one of the most densely populated areas in the United States (U.S.). We fuse the Fisher and Pry diffusion model and Rogers model within the agent-based simulation to forecast zip-code level EV diffusion and the required energy capacity to satisfy the charging demand. The research outcomes will assist policy makers and grid operators in making better planning decisions on the locations and timing of investments during the transition to smarter grids and greener transportation.

Keywords: agent-based model; electric vehicle; innovation diffusion; electricity consumption; New York City (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q Q0 Q4 Q40 Q41 Q42 Q43 Q47 Q48 Q49 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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