Resilience of a Building to Future Climate Conditions in Three European Cities

Virgilio Ciancio, Serena Falasca, Iacopo Golasi, Pieter de Wilde, Massimo Coppi, Livio de Santoli and Ferdinando Salata
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Virgilio Ciancio: Department of Astronautical, Electrical and Energy Engineering—Applied Physics Area, University of Rome “Sapienza”, Via Eudossiana, 18–00184 Rome, Italy
Serena Falasca: Department of Pure and Applied Sciences, University of Urbino “Carlo Bo”, 61029 Urbino, Italy
Iacopo Golasi: Department of Astronautical, Electrical and Energy Engineering—Applied Physics Area, University of Rome “Sapienza”, Via Eudossiana, 18–00184 Rome, Italy
Pieter de Wilde: School of Art, Design and Architecture, University of Plymouth, PL4 8AA Plymouth, UK
Massimo Coppi: Department of Astronautical, Electrical and Energy Engineering—Applied Physics Area, University of Rome “Sapienza”, Via Eudossiana, 18–00184 Rome, Italy
Livio de Santoli: Department of Astronautical, Electrical and Energy Engineering—Applied Physics Area, University of Rome “Sapienza”, Via Eudossiana, 18–00184 Rome, Italy
Ferdinando Salata: Department of Astronautical, Electrical and Energy Engineering—Applied Physics Area, University of Rome “Sapienza”, Via Eudossiana, 18–00184 Rome, Italy

Energies, 2019, vol. 12, issue 23, 1-15

Abstract: Building energy need simulations are usually performed using input files that contain information about the averaged weather data based on historical patterns. Therefore, the simulations performed are not able to provide information about possible future scenarios due to climate change. In this work, future trends of building energy demands due to the climate change across Europe were studied by comparing three time steps (present, 2050, and -2080) in three different European cities, characterized by different Köppen-Geiger climatic classes. A residential building with modern architectural features was taken into consideration for the simulations. Future climate conditions were reached by applying the effects of climate changes to current hourly meteorological data though the climate change tool world weather file generator (CCWorldWeatherGen) tool, according to the guidelines established by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. In order to examine the resilience of the building, the simulations carried out were compared with respect to: peak power, median values of the power, and energy consumed by heating and cooling system. The observed trend shows a general reduction in the energy needs for heating (–46% for Aberdeen, –80% for Palermo, –36% for Prague in 2080 compared to the present) and increase (occurrence for Aberdeen) in cooling requirements. These results imply a revaluation of system size.

Keywords: climate change; future trends; energy needs; residential sector; buildings resilience; EnergyPlus (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q Q0 Q4 Q40 Q41 Q42 Q43 Q47 Q48 Q49 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (9)

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