Policy Impact on Regional Biogas Using a Modular Modeling Tool
Stelios Rozakis,
Andrea Bartoli,
Jacek Dach,
Anna Jędrejek,
Alina Kowalczyk-Juśko,
Łukasz Mamica,
Patrycja Pochwatka,
Rafał Pudelko and
Kesheng Shu
Additional contact information
Jacek Dach: Department of Biosystems Engineering, Poznan University of Life Sciences, WojskaPolskiego 50, 60-637 Poznań, Poland
Anna Jędrejek: Department of Bioeconomy & System Analysis, Institute of Soil Science & Plant Cultivation—State Research Institute, 24-100 Pulawy, Poland
Alina Kowalczyk-Juśko: Department of Environmental Engineering and Geodesy, University of Life Sciences in Lublin, Leszczyńskiego 7, 20-069 Lublin, Poland
Łukasz Mamica: Department of Public Economics, Cracow University of Economics, 31-510 Kraków, Poland
Patrycja Pochwatka: Department of Environmental Engineering and Geodesy, University of Life Sciences in Lublin, Leszczyńskiego 7, 20-069 Lublin, Poland
Rafał Pudelko: Department of Bioeconomy & System Analysis, Institute of Soil Science & Plant Cultivation—State Research Institute, 24-100 Pulawy, Poland
Kesheng Shu: Centre for Energy and Environmental Management and Decision-Making (CE2MD), China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China
Energies, 2021, vol. 14, issue 13, 1-21
Abstract:
Biogas development is expected to contribute to the National Recovery and Resilience plan to overcome the COVID-19 shock. Estimation of the agricultural biogas potential in economic terms can contribute to refining policies inciting effective sector development. In this paper, we attempt to do so by modeling a biogas chain from dedicated crops and livestock waste. This was achieved by coupling farming models to the biogas industry in a partial equilibrium framework. This allows for a comprehensive investigation of alternative measures in technology, size, spatial distribution and land use change. The integrated model was implemented in Lubelskie for the previous policy (green certificates) and the current policy (auction market). In both cases, the bottom-up profit driven optimization resulted in approximately 40 MWel, which shows a robust economic potential more than four times the biogas sector’s actual capacity in the region, also providing the detailed structure of the sector. When focusing on the industry structure, both scenarios give similar results regarding 1–2 MWel plant size close to the observed situation. The model also suggests a large number of new facilities <250 kWel, twice as important under scenario 2, indicating that other conditions beyond economy profitability should be fulfilled for further sector development.
Keywords: agricultural biogas; mathematical programming; Poland; sorghum; manure (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q Q0 Q4 Q40 Q41 Q42 Q43 Q47 Q48 Q49 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:13:p:3738-:d:579871
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