Inter-Provincial Electricity Trading and Its Effects on Carbon Emissions from the Power Industry

Yanfeng Li, Yongping Li, Guohe Huang and Rubing Zheng
Additional contact information
Yanfeng Li: Sino-Canada Energy and Environmental Research Center, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China
Yongping Li: State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, China-Canada Center for Energy, Environment and Ecology Research, UR-BNU, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
Guohe Huang: State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, China-Canada Center for Energy, Environment and Ecology Research, UR-BNU, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
Rubing Zheng: Sino-Canada Energy and Environmental Research Center, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China

Energies, 2022, vol. 15, issue 10, 1-20

Abstract: Electricity trading is an effective measure to minimize carbon emissions and alleviate the imbalance between reverse distribution of regional energy resources and power load. However, the effects of China’s electricity trading on carbon emissions have not been fully explored due to lack of complete and balanced inter-provincial power transmission data. Therefore, the electricity generation–consumption downscaling model, logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI) model, and random forest clustering algorithm within a general framework were used in the present study to explore the effect of electricity trading on level of carbon emissions. Comprehensive inter-provincial electricity transmission data were generated, driving factors including electricity imports and exports were decomposed at the national and provincial scales, and clustered provincial policy implications were evaluated. The results revealed that: (i) although economic activities were the main driving factor for increase in carbon emissions at the national level, 382.95 million tons carbon emissions were offset from 2005 to 2019 due to inter-provincial electricity importation, whereas electricity export increased carbon emission by 230.30 million tons; (ii) analysis at the provincial level showed that electricity exports from Sichuan and Yunnan provinces accounted for more than 20% of the nation’s total electricity flow. Notably, this high level of exports did not significantly increase carbon emissions in these provinces owing to the abundant hydropower resources; (iii) emission reductions were only observed at the national level if the carbon intensity of the exporting provinces was lower compared with that of importing provinces, or if the electricity trading was generated from renewable sources; (iv) the effect of electricity import on emissions reduction was markedly higher relative to the effect of electricity export in most provinces, which reflected the actual situation of sustaining optimization of electricity generation structure in provincial grids of China. These findings provide a basis for decision makers to understand the contributions of electricity trading to the changes in carbon emissions from electricity generation, as well as form a foundation to explore practicable carbon emission mitigation strategies in the power industry.

Keywords: inter-provincial; electricity trading; carbon emissions; LMDI; random forest clustering (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q Q0 Q4 Q40 Q41 Q42 Q43 Q47 Q48 Q49 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/10/3601/pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/10/3601/ (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jeners:v:15:y:2022:i:10:p:3601-:d:815691

Access Statistics for this article

Energies is currently edited by Ms. Agatha Cao

More articles in Energies from MDPI
Bibliographic data for series maintained by MDPI Indexing Manager ().