Research on the Root Cause Tracing Method of the Change in Access to Electricity Index Based on Data Mining

Hongshan Luo, Xu Zhou, Weiqi Zheng and Yuling He ()
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Hongshan Luo: Shenzhen Power Supply Bureau Co., Ltd., Shenzhen 518048, China
Xu Zhou: Shenzhen Power Supply Bureau Co., Ltd., Shenzhen 518048, China
Weiqi Zheng: Shenzhen Power Supply Bureau Co., Ltd., Shenzhen 518048, China
Yuling He: Department of Mechanical Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Baoding 071003, China

Energies, 2025, vol. 18, issue 9, 1-24

Abstract: Superior electricity-optimized business ecosystems (EOBEs) have evolved into pivotal determinants in catalyzing industrial–commercial prosperity. The access to electricity index (AEI) constitutes a valid instrument for assessing the EOBE. To realize the accurate evaluation of EOBE and the root cause tracing of its changes, this paper constructs a new analytical model for evaluating and monitoring changes in EOBE. First, this paper constructs a new evaluation model of EOBE based on the Business Ready (B-READY) evaluation system, considering three factors: the power regulatory quality, the public service level, and the enterprises’ gain power efficiency. Then, the model uses the raw data collected to calculate a score for AEI to enable an accurate assessment of EOBE. Next, this paper uses a priori assessment to extract the coupling features of indicators and combines the time series features and policy features to construct the feature matrix. Finally, the characteristic contribution was analyzed using support vector regression (SVR) and Shapley’s additive interpretation (SHAP) value. The experiment shows that the factors affecting the change in AEI are time series features, policy features, and coupling features in decreasing order of importance. This study provides reference cases and improvement ideas for the assessment and optimization of EOBE.

Keywords: access to electricity index (AEI); root cause tracing; a priori; support vector regression (SVR); Shapley’s additive interpretation (SHAP) value (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q Q0 Q4 Q40 Q41 Q42 Q43 Q47 Q48 Q49 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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