A Delphi–Fuzzy Delphi Study on SDGs 9 and 12 after COVID-19: Case Study in Brazil

Isabela Caroline de Sousa, Tiago F. A. C. Sigahi (), Izabela Simon Rampasso, Gustavo Hermínio Salati Marcondes de Moraes, Walter Leal Filho, João Henrique Paulino Pires Eustachio and Rosley Anholon
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Isabela Caroline de Sousa: School of Mechanical Engineering, State University of Campinas, Campinas 13083-860, SP, Brazil
Tiago F. A. C. Sigahi: School of Mechanical Engineering, State University of Campinas, Campinas 13083-860, SP, Brazil
Izabela Simon Rampasso: Departamento de Ingeniería Industrial, Universidad Católica del Norte, Antofagasta 1270709, Chile
Gustavo Hermínio Salati Marcondes de Moraes: School of Applied Sciences, State University of Campinas, Limeira 13484-350, SP, Brazil
Walter Leal Filho: Research and Transfer Centre “Sustainable Development and Climate Change Management”, Hamburg University of Applied Sciences, 21033 Hamburg, Germany
João Henrique Paulino Pires Eustachio: Research and Transfer Centre “Sustainable Development and Climate Change Management”, Hamburg University of Applied Sciences, 21033 Hamburg, Germany
Rosley Anholon: School of Mechanical Engineering, State University of Campinas, Campinas 13083-860, SP, Brazil

Forecasting, 2024, vol. 6, issue 3, 1-18

Abstract: The COVID-19 pandemic has affected all Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), leading to setbacks in various Latin American countries. In Brazil, progress in technological development and the adoption of sustainable practices by organizations has been significantly hindered. Yet, there remains a limited understanding of the long-term impacts on the country’s development, and a structured national plan for recovery and resuming progress toward the SDGs is lacking. This paper aims to investigate the repercussions of COVID-19 on SDGs 9 (industry, innovation, and infrastructure) and 12 (sustainable consumption and production) in the context of a latecomer country such as Brazil. This study adopted the Delphi-based scenario and Fuzzy Delphi approach and involved the participation of 15 sustainability experts with extensive experience in the Brazilian industrial sector. The findings elucidate the long-term impacts of the pandemic on these SDGs, focusing on Brazil’s socioeconomic landscape and developmental challenges. The pandemic worsened pre-existing issues, hindering infrastructure modernization, technological investment, and sustainable practices. Insufficient research funding, industry modernization, and small business integration further impede progress. Additionally, the paper identifies implications for research, companies, and public policies, aiming to provide actionable insights for fostering sustainable development in the post-pandemic era.

Keywords: future; sustainability; Sustainable Development Goals; innovation; COVID-19; pandemics; Delphi; fuzzy set theory; Brazil (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: A1 B4 C0 C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C8 M0 Q2 Q3 Q4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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