About Linda Again: How Narratives and Group Reasoning Can Influence Conjunction Fallacy

Camillo Donati, Andrea Guazzini, Giorgio Gronchi and Andrea Smorti
Additional contact information
Camillo Donati: Department of Education, Literatures, Intercultures, Languages and Psychology, University of Florence, 50135 Florence, Italy
Andrea Guazzini: Department of Education, Literatures, Intercultures, Languages and Psychology, University of Florence, 50135 Florence, Italy
Giorgio Gronchi: Department of Neurosciences, Psychology, Drug Research, and Child Health, University of Florence, 50135 Florence, Italy
Andrea Smorti: Department of Education, Literatures, Intercultures, Languages and Psychology, University of Florence, 50135 Florence, Italy

Future Internet, 2019, vol. 11, issue 10, 1-14

Abstract: Conjunction fallacy (together with other systematic reasoning errors) is usually explained in terms of the dual process theory of reasoning: Biases should be ascribed to fast and automatic processes, whereas slow and deliberative processes are responsible of producing answers that are correct with respect of normative criterion. The dual process theory is related to Bruner’s distinction between narrative and paradigmatic thought: Both modes of thought can be characterized by the two different processes of reasoning. In this paper, we explore the role of Bruner’s mode of thought manipulating also the difference between group vs individual reasoning. We observed that the narrative strategy of response induces more wrong answers. However, narrative-based strategies have higher effectiveness in the case of group reasoning. Our results suggest that narrative reasoning and group reasoning may induce violations of the conjunction rule when acceptable by the verisimilitude of the story. Five models are also presented in order to predict answer correctness and strategy of reasoning using a text analysis software.

Keywords: conjunction fallacy; narrative thought; dual-process; group reasoning (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O3 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.mdpi.com/1999-5903/11/10/210/pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.mdpi.com/1999-5903/11/10/210/ (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jftint:v:11:y:2019:i:10:p:210-:d:274101

Access Statistics for this article

Future Internet is currently edited by Ms. Grace You

More articles in Future Internet from MDPI
Bibliographic data for series maintained by MDPI Indexing Manager ().