Effects of Meteorological Parameters and PM 10 on the Incidence of Hand, Foot, and Mouth Disease in Children in China

Ruixue Huang, Guolin Bian, Tianfeng He, Lv Chen and Guozhang Xu
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Ruixue Huang: Department of Occupational and Environmental Health, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha 410078, China
Guolin Bian: Ningbo Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Ningbo 315010, China
Tianfeng He: Ningbo Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Ningbo 315010, China
Lv Chen: Department of Occupational and Environmental Health, Xiangya School of Public Health, Central South University, Changsha 410078, China
Guozhang Xu: Ningbo Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Ningbo 315010, China

IJERPH, 2016, vol. 13, issue 5, 1-13

Abstract: Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is a globally-prevalent infectious disease. However, few data are available on prevention measures for HFMD. The purpose of this investigation was to evaluate the impacts of temperature, humidity, and air pollution, particularly levels of particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter 10 micrometers (PM 10 ), on the incidence of HFMD in a city in Eastern China. Daily morbidity, meteorological, and air pollution data for Ningbo City were collected for the period from January 2012 to December 2014. A total of 86,695 HFMD cases were enrolled in this study. We used a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) with Poisson distribution to analyze the nonlinear lag effects of daily mean temperature, daily humidity, and found significant relationships with the incidence of HFMD; in contrast, PM 10 level showed no relationship to the incidence of HFMD. Our findings will facilitate the development of effective preventive measures and early forecasting of HFMD outbreaks.

Keywords: distributed lag nonlinear model; hand; foot; and mouth disease; children (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I I1 I3 Q Q5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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