Longitudinal Study-Based Dementia Prediction for Public Health

HeeChel Kim, Hong-Woo Chun, Seonho Kim, Byoung-Youl Coh, Oh-Jin Kwon and Yeong-Ho Moon
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HeeChel Kim: Science and Technology Management Policy, University of Science & Technology, Daejeon 34113, Korea
Hong-Woo Chun: Korea Institute of Science and Technology Information, Seoul 02456, Korea
Seonho Kim: Korea Institute of Science and Technology Information, Seoul 02456, Korea
Byoung-Youl Coh: Korea Institute of Science and Technology Information, Seoul 02456, Korea
Oh-Jin Kwon: Korea Institute of Science and Technology Information, Seoul 02456, Korea
Yeong-Ho Moon: Korea Institute of Science and Technology Information, Seoul 02456, Korea

IJERPH, 2017, vol. 14, issue 9, 1-16

Abstract: The issue of public health in Korea has attracted significant attention given the aging of the country’s population, which has created many types of social problems. The approach proposed in this article aims to address dementia, one of the most significant symptoms of aging and a public health care issue in Korea. The Korean National Health Insurance Service Senior Cohort Database contains personal medical data of every citizen in Korea. There are many different medical history patterns between individuals with dementia and normal controls. The approach used in this study involved examination of personal medical history features from personal disease history, sociodemographic data, and personal health examinations to develop a prediction model. The prediction model used a support-vector machine learning technique to perform a 10-fold cross-validation analysis. The experimental results demonstrated promising performance (80.9% F-measure). The proposed approach supported the significant influence of personal medical history features during an optimal observation period. It is anticipated that a biomedical “big data”-based disease prediction model may assist the diagnosis of any disease more correctly.

Keywords: public health; aging; dementia; big data; machine learning; support vector machine (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I I1 I3 Q Q5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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