An Analysis of Large-Scale Forced Migration in Africa

Murat Bayar and Mustafa M. Aral
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Murat Bayar: Institute for Eastern and African Studies, Social Sciences University of Ankara, Ankara 06030, Turkey
Mustafa M. Aral: Department of Civil Engineering, Bartin University, Bartin 74100, Turkey

IJERPH, 2019, vol. 16, issue 21, 1-16

Abstract: In this paper, human security-related causes of large-scale forced migration (LSFM) in Africa are investigated for the period 2011–2017. As distinct from the conventional understanding of (national) security, human security involves economic, public health, environmental and other aspects of people’s wellbeing. Testing various hypotheses, we have found that civil and interstate conflicts, lack of democracy and poverty are the most important drivers of mass population displacements, whereas climate change has an indirect effect on the dependent variable. As a policy tool, foreign aid is also tested to see if it lowers the probability of LSFM. Our findings have implications for policy planning, since the conventional understanding of security falls short of addressing LSFM without taking various aspects of human security into account.

Keywords: climate change; violence; human security; public health; migration; Africa (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I I1 I3 Q Q5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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