Improving Aviation Safety through Modeling Accident Risk Assessment of Runway

Yaser Yousefi, Nader Karballaeezadeh, Dariush Moazami, Amirhossein Sanaei Zahed, Danial Mohammadzadeh S. and Amir Mosavi
Additional contact information
Yaser Yousefi: School of Civil Engineering, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran P.O. Box 16765-163, Iran
Nader Karballaeezadeh: Faculty of Civil Engineering, Shahrood University of Technology, Shahrood P.O. Box 3619995161, Iran
Dariush Moazami: Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Montazeri, Khorasan Razavi Branch, Technical and Vocational University (TVU), Mashhad P.O. Box 9176994594, Iran
Amirhossein Sanaei Zahed: Department of Elite Relations with Industries, Khorasan Construction Engineering Organization, Mashhad P.O. Box 9185816744, Iran
Danial Mohammadzadeh S.: Department of Elite Relations with Industries, Khorasan Construction Engineering Organization, Mashhad P.O. Box 9185816744, Iran
Amir Mosavi: Faculty of Civil Engineering, Technische Universität Dresden, 01069 Dresden, Germany

IJERPH, 2020, vol. 17, issue 17, 1-36

Abstract: The exponential increase in aviation activity and air traffic in recent decades has raised several public health issues. One of the critical public health concerns is runway safety and the increasing demand for airports without accidents. In addition to threatening human lives, runway accidents are often associated with severe environmental and pollution consequences. In this study, a three-step approach is used for runway risk assessment considering probability, location, and consequences of accidents through advanced statistical methods. This study proposes novel models for the implementation of these three steps in Iran. Data on runway excursion accidents were collected from several countries with similar air accident rates. The proposed models empower engineers to advance an accurate assessment of the accident probability and safety assessment of airports. For in-service airports, it is possible to assess existing runways to remove obstacles close to runways if necessary. Also, the proposed models can be used for preliminary evaluations of developing existing airports and the construction of new runways.

Keywords: aviation safety; airport safety; runway; accident risk assessment; airport design; runway excursion; accident research; digital health; public health; mobility; transportation; airplane collision; accident injuries prevention; accident modeling; air traffic (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I I1 I3 Q Q5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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