Change in China’s SRB: A Dynamic Spatial Panel Approach

Tingshuai Ge, Li Mei, Xiujun Tai and Quanbao Jiang
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Tingshuai Ge: Institute for Population and Development Studies, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, China
Li Mei: Institute for Population and Development Studies, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, China
Xiujun Tai: School of Economics and Management, Shanxi Normal University, Linfen 041004, China
Quanbao Jiang: Institute for Population and Development Studies, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an 710049, China

IJERPH, 2020, vol. 17, issue 21, 1-15

Abstract: There has been some research on factors affecting China’s rising sex ratio at birth (SRB), but the spatial dependence has been largely neglected. With China’s census and sample survey data and the dynamic spatial Durbin model; we analyzed the changes in SRB in China. We found that SRB and its influencing factors were spatially correlated at the provincial level. For direct effects; urbanization significantly reduced SRB in this region; while strict family planning policies increased SRB in the local region. For indirect effects; the increase in per capita Gross Domestic Product and urbanization led to an increase in the SRB of the neighboring regions through population mobility. By comparison; educational improvement in one region benefited the neighboring provinces and reduced SRB.

Keywords: sex ratio at birth; spatial dependence; spatial Durbin model; China (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I I1 I3 Q Q5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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