Sustained Effects of Government Response on the COVID-19 Infection Rate in China: A Multiple Mediation Analysis

Taixiang Duan, Zhonggen Sun and Guoqing Shi
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Taixiang Duan: Department of Sociology, Hohai University, Nanjing 211100, China
Zhonggen Sun: School of Public Administration, Hohai University, Nanjing 211100, China
Guoqing Shi: Asian Research Center, Hohai University, 8 Focheng West Road, Jinagning District, Nanjing 211100, China

IJERPH, 2021, vol. 18, issue 23, 1-16

Abstract: Many scholars have considered the relationship between the government response to COVID-19, an important social intervention strategy, and the COVID-19 infection rate. However, few have examined the sustained impact of an early government response on the COVID-19 infection rate. The current paper fills this gap by investigating a national survey performed in February 2020 and infection data from Chinese cities surveyed 1.5 years after the outbreak of COVID-19. The results suggest that the Chinese government’s early response to COVID-19 significantly and sustainedly reduced China’s COVID-19 infection rate, and that this impact worked through risk perception, the adoption of protective action recommendations (PARs), and the chain-mediating effects of risk perception and the adoption of PARs, respectively. These findings have important practical value. In demonstrating how government response and infection rate at the macro level are connected to the behaviour of individuals at the micro level, they suggest feasible directions for curbing the spread of diseases such as COVID-19. When facing such public health emergencies, the focus should be on increasing the public’s risk perception and adoption of PARs.

Keywords: sustained effects; government response; infection rate; risk perception; adoption of PARs; COVID-19; China (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I I1 I3 Q Q5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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