Landscape Evolution and Simulation of Rural Settlements around Wetland Park Based on MCCA Model and Landscape Theory: A Case Study of Chaohu Peninsula, China

Xin Fan, Wenxu Luo, Haoran Yu, Yuejing Rong, Xinchen Gu, Yanjun Zheng, Shengya Ou, Damien Sinonmatohou Tiando, Qiang Zhang, Guiling Tang and Jiangfeng Li
Additional contact information
Xin Fan: School of Public Administration, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China
Wenxu Luo: International Education College, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China
Haoran Yu: School of Architecture and Planning, Anhui Jianzhu University, Hefei 230022, China
Yuejing Rong: State Key Laboratory of Urban and Regional Ecology, Research Center for Eco-Environmental Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100085, China
Xinchen Gu: State Key Laboratory of Hydraulic Engineering Simulation and Safety, School of Civil Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China
Yanjun Zheng: Student Innovation & Entrepreneurship Guidance Centre, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China
Shengya Ou: School of Geography and Tourism, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi’an 710119, China
Damien Sinonmatohou Tiando: School of Public Administration, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China
Qiang Zhang: School of Architecture and Planning, Anhui Jianzhu University, Hefei 230022, China
Guiling Tang: International Education College, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China
Jiangfeng Li: School of Public Administration, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan 430074, China

IJERPH, 2021, vol. 18, issue 24, 1-19

Abstract: As a transitional zone between urban and rural areas, the peri-urban areas are the areas with the most intense urban expansion and the most frequent spatial reconfiguration, and in this context, it is particularly important to reveal the evolution pattern of rural settlements in the peri-urban areas to provide reference for the rearrangement of rural settlements. The study takes five townships in the urban suburbs, and explores the scale, shape, spatial layout, and spatial characteristics of the urban suburbs of Hefei from 1980 to 2030 under the influence of urban-lake symbiosis based on spatial mathematical analysis and geographical simulation software. The study shows that: (1) the overall layout of rural settlements in the study area is randomly distributed due to the hilly terrain, but in small areas there is a high and low clustering phenomenon, and the spatial density shows the distribution characteristics of “high in the east and low in the west”; (2) since the reform and opening up, there are large spatial differences in the scale of rural settlements in the study area. (3) Different development scenarios have a strong impact on the future spatial pattern of rural settlement land use within the study area, which is a strong reflection of policy.

Keywords: land use change; rural settlements; MCCA model; spatial pattern evolution; peri-urban areas; urban-lake symbiosis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I I1 I3 Q Q5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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