The Impact of Planting Industry Structural Changes on Carbon Emissions in the Three Northeast Provinces of China

Hongpeng Guo, Sidong Xie and Chulin Pan
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Hongpeng Guo: College of Biological and Agricultural Engineering, Jilin University, 5988 Renmin Street, Changchun 130022, China
Sidong Xie: College of Biological and Agricultural Engineering, Jilin University, 5988 Renmin Street, Changchun 130022, China
Chulin Pan: College of Biological and Agricultural Engineering, Jilin University, 5988 Renmin Street, Changchun 130022, China

IJERPH, 2021, vol. 18, issue 2, 1-20

Abstract: This paper focuses on the impact of changes in planting industry structure on carbon emissions. Based on the statistical data of the planting industry in three provinces in Northeast China from 1999 to 2018, the study calculated the carbon emissions, carbon absorptions and net carbon sinks of the planting industry by using crop parameter estimation and carbon emissions inventory estimation methods. In addition, the multiple linear regression model and panel data model were used to analyze and test the carbon emissions and net carbon sinks of the planting industry. The results show that: (1). The increase of the planting area of rice, corn, and peanuts in the three northeastern provinces of China will promote carbon emissions, while the increase of the planting area of wheat, sorghum, soybeans, and vegetables will reduce carbon emissions; (2). Fertilizer application, technological progress, and planting structure factors have a significant positive effect on net carbon sinks, among which the changes in the planting industry structure have the greatest impact on net carbon sinks. Based on the comprehensive analysis, it is suggested that, under the guidance of the government, resource endowment and location advantages should be given full play to, and the internal planting structure of crops should be reasonably adjusted so as to promote the development of low-carbon agriculture and accelerate the development process of agricultural modernization.

Keywords: three provinces in Northeast China; low-carbon agriculture; plantation structure; carbon emissions; net carbon sinks (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I I1 I3 Q Q5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (8)

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