Swimming World Championships: Association between Success at the Junior and Senior Level for British Swimmers

Inmaculada Yustres, Jesús Santos del Cerro, Stelios Psycharakis, Fernando González-Mohíno and José María González-Ravé
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Inmaculada Yustres: Facultad de Ciencias de la Salud, Universidad Francisco de Vitoria, Ctra. Pozuelo-Majadahonda Km 1800, Pozuelo de Alarcón, 28223 Madrid, Spain
Jesús Santos del Cerro: Department of Economics and Business Statistics, University of Castilla la Mancha, San Pedro Mártir, 45071 Toledo, Spain
Stelios Psycharakis: Department of Sport, Physical Education and Health Sciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh EH8 8AQ, UK
Fernando González-Mohíno: Department of Physical Activity and Sport Sciences, University of Castilla-La Mancha, Avenida Carlos III, 45071 Toledo, Spain
José María González-Ravé: Department of Physical Activity and Sport Sciences, University of Castilla-La Mancha, Avenida Carlos III, 45071 Toledo, Spain

IJERPH, 2021, vol. 18, issue 3, 1-8

Abstract: The present study examines the association between the success at junior and senior level for British swimmers in World Championships (WCs). It also explores the relationships between swimming performance and the swimmers’ gender, swim stroke, distance, status (finalist, semifinalist and heats) and swimming category. Data were collected for swimmers participating in junior and/or senior World Championships (29,000 entries: 5585 swimmers) from 2006–2017. The final filtered database included only swimmers from the United Kingdom (836 entries: 141 swimmers). A descriptive analysis was made to characterize the swimmers who reached elite status in the senior category. A lineal regression model was run by gender to predict the influence of category, swim stroke, and distance in the results reached in the senior category. The results showed that the ratio of conversion from junior to senior was quite low. Females who participated in both junior and senior WCs were likely to reach top positions in the senior category. Overall, few British swimmers participated in a junior category before the senior level, but female swimmers participating in both junior and senior WCs were likely to reach top positions in the senior category.

Keywords: swimming; talent; early specialization (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I I1 I3 Q Q5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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