Spatiotemporal Mapping of Online Interest in Cannabis and Popular Psychedelics before and during the COVID-19 Pandemic in Poland

Ahmed Al-Imam, Marek A. Motyka, Zuzanna Witulska, Manal Younus and Michał Michalak
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Ahmed Al-Imam: Doctoral School, Poznan University of Medical Sciences, 60-512 Poznan, Poland
Marek A. Motyka: Institute of Sociological Sciences, University of Rzeszow, 35-959 Rzeszów, Poland
Zuzanna Witulska: Faculty of Psychology and Law, SWPS University of Social Sciences and Humanities, Kutrzeby 10, 61-719 Poznan, Poland
Manal Younus: Iraqi Pharmacovigilance Centre, Ministry of Health, Baghdad 10001, Iraq
Michał Michalak: Department of Computer Science and Statistics, Poznan University of Medical Sciences, Rokietnicka 7 St. (1st Floor), 61-806 Poznan, Poland

IJERPH, 2022, vol. 19, issue 11, 1-17

Abstract: Background: Psychedelics represent a unique subset of psychoactive substances that can induce an aberrant state of consciousness principally via the neuronal 5-HT2A receptor. There is limited knowledge concerning the interest in these chemicals in Poland and how they changed during the pandemic. Nonetheless, these interests can be surveyed indirectly via the web. Objectives: We aim to conduct a spatial-temporal mapping of online information-seeking behavior concerning cannabis and the most popular psychedelics before and during the pandemic. Methods: We retrieved online information search data via Google Trends concerning twenty of the most popular psychedelics from 1 January 2017 to 1 January 2022 in Poland. We conducted Holt–Winters exponential smoothing for time series analysis to infer potential seasonality. We utilized hierarchical clustering analysis based on Ward’s method to find similarities of psychedelics’ interest within Poland’s voivodships before and during the pandemic. Results: Twelve (60%) psychedelics had significant seasonality; we proved that psilocybin and ayahuasca had annual seasonality ( p -value = 0.0120 and p = 0.0003, respectively), and four substances—LSD, AL-LAD, DXM, and DOB—exhibited a half-yearly seasonality, while six psychedelics had a quarterly seasonal pattern, including cannabis, dronabinol, ergine, NBOMe, phencyclidine, and salvinorin A. Further, the pandemic influenced a significant positive change in the trends for three substances, including psilocybin, ergine, and DXM. Conclusions: Different seasonal patterns exist for psychedelics, and some might correlate with school breaks or holidays in Poland. The pandemic induced some changes in the temporal and spatial trends. The spatial-temporal trends could be valuable information to health authorities and policymakers responsible for monitoring and preventing addictions.

Keywords: entheogens; hallucinogens; Holt–Winters exponential smoothing; clustering analysis; social anomie theory; spatiotemporal mapping; time series analysis; web analytics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I I1 I3 Q Q5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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