Multi-Scenario Simulation of Land Use and Landscape Ecological Risk Response Based on Planning Control

Nan Wang, Peijuan Zhu (), Guohua Zhou, Xudong Xing and Yong Zhang
Additional contact information
Nan Wang: School of Geographical Sciences, Hunan Normal University, Changsha 410081, China
Peijuan Zhu: School of Geographical Sciences, Hunan Normal University, Changsha 410081, China
Guohua Zhou: School of Geographical Sciences, Hunan Normal University, Changsha 410081, China
Xudong Xing: Hunan Key Laboratory of Land and Resources Evaluation and Utilization, Changsha 410007, China
Yong Zhang: Hunan Sidayuan Planning Consulting Research Co., Ltd., Changsha 410081, China

IJERPH, 2022, vol. 19, issue 21, 1-29

Abstract: This study applied territorial spatial planning control to a land use multi-scenario simulation in Changde, China, and measured the landscape ecological risk response. It embedded five planning control schemes, respectively, involving inertial development, urban expansion size quantity control, ecological spatial structure control, land use zoning control, and comprehensive control. Findings show that: (1) Woodland and arable land in Changde occupy 31.10% and 43.35% of land use, respectively, and constitute the main functional space of the research area. The scale of construction land in Changde has enlarged continuously, with ecological space represented by woodland and water constantly squeezed and occupied. (2) Comprehensive control has the most remarkable restraining effect on the disordered spread of construction land, while ecological space structure control is the most effective way to control ecological land shrinkage. (3) The overall landscape ecological risk index expanded over 2009–2018, presenting an S-type time evolution curve of “sharp increase–mitigation”. Landscape ecological risk presents a single-core, double-layer circle structure with the north and east regions as the core, attenuating to the periphery. (4) Landscape ecological risk under land use zoning control increased significantly more than in other scenarios. Comprehensive control best prevented landscape ecological risk and restrained the disorderly expansion of construction land.

Keywords: planning control; land use; multi-scenario simulation; landscape ecological risk (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I I1 I3 Q Q5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/19/21/14289/pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/19/21/14289/ (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:19:y:2022:i:21:p:14289-:d:960194

Access Statistics for this article

IJERPH is currently edited by Ms. Jenna Liu

More articles in IJERPH from MDPI
Bibliographic data for series maintained by MDPI Indexing Manager ().