Mortality in Germany during the COVID-19 Pandemic

Alois Pichler and Dana Uhlig ()
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Alois Pichler: Faculty of Mathematics, University of Technology Chemnitz, 09111 Chemnitz, Germany
Dana Uhlig: Faculty of Mathematics, University of Technology Chemnitz, 09111 Chemnitz, Germany

IJERPH, 2023, vol. 20, issue 20, 1-11

Abstract: Is there sufficient scientific evidence for excess mortality caused by COVID-19? The German population, similar to the population of many other countries, is subject to fluctuations caused by multiple factors, including migration and aging. COVID-19 is one additional factor, superposing natural or seasonal mortality fluctuations. To give scientific evidence for excess mortality caused by COVID-19, it is essential to employ appropriate statistical tools. This study develops a score indicating excess mortality and studies its evolution over time. Applied to data provided by governmental authorities, the indicator discloses, without relating to causes of death explicitly, excess mortality at the end of 2020, in 2021, and in 2022. In addition, the indicator confirms that COVID-19 particularly impacted the elderly segment of the population.

Keywords: excess mortality; parametric mortality models; improving mortality rates; COVID-19 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I I1 I3 Q Q5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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