Effects of Ambient Temperature, Relative Humidity, and Precipitation on Diarrhea Incidence in Surabaya

Bima Sakti Satria Wibawa, Aussie Tahta Maharani, Gerry Andhikaputra, Marsha Savira Agatha Putri, Aditya Prana Iswara, Amir Sapkota, Ayushi Sharma, Arie Dipareza Syafei and Yu-Chun Wang ()
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Bima Sakti Satria Wibawa: Department of Environmental Engineering, College of Engineering, Chung Yuan Christian University, 200 Chung-Pei Road, Zhongli, Taoyuan City 320314, Taiwan
Aussie Tahta Maharani: Institute of Tropical Disease, Universitas Airlangga, Surabaya 60286, Indonesia
Gerry Andhikaputra: Department of Environmental Engineering, College of Engineering, Chung Yuan Christian University, 200 Chung-Pei Road, Zhongli, Taoyuan City 320314, Taiwan
Marsha Savira Agatha Putri: Department of Environmental Health, Faculty of Health Science, Universitas Islam Lamongan, Lamongan 62211, Indonesia
Aditya Prana Iswara: Department of Environmental Engineering, College of Engineering, Chung Yuan Christian University, 200 Chung-Pei Road, Zhongli, Taoyuan City 320314, Taiwan
Amir Sapkota: Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Maryland School of Public Health, Maryland, MD 20742, USA
Ayushi Sharma: Department of Environmental Engineering, College of Engineering, Chung Yuan Christian University, 200 Chung-Pei Road, Zhongli, Taoyuan City 320314, Taiwan
Arie Dipareza Syafei: Department of Environmental Engineering, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember, Surabaya 60111, Indonesia
Yu-Chun Wang: Department of Environmental Engineering, College of Engineering, Chung Yuan Christian University, 200 Chung-Pei Road, Zhongli, Taoyuan City 320314, Taiwan

IJERPH, 2023, vol. 20, issue 3, 1-13

Abstract: Background: Diarrhea remains a common infectious disease caused by various risk factors in developing countries. This study investigated the incidence rate and temporal associations between diarrhea and meteorological determinants in five regions of Surabaya, Indonesia. Method: Monthly diarrhea records from local governmental health facilities in Surabaya and monthly means of weather variables, including average temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity from Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysical Agency were collected from January 2018 to September 2020. The generalized additive model was employed to quantify the time lag association between diarrhea risk and extremely low (5th percentile) and high (95th percentile) monthly weather variations in the north, central, west, south, and east regions of Surabaya (lag of 0–2 months). Result: The average incidence rate for diarrhea was 11.4 per 100,000 during the study period, with a higher incidence during rainy season (November to March) and in East Surabaya. This study showed that the weather condition with the lowest diarrhea risks varied with the region. The diarrhea risks were associated with extremely low and high temperatures, with the highest RR of 5.39 (95% CI 4.61, 6.17) in the east region, with 1 month of lag time following the extreme temperatures. Extremely low relative humidity increased the diarrhea risks in some regions of Surabaya, with the highest risk in the west region at lag 0 (RR = 2.13 (95% CI 1.79, 2.47)). Extremely high precipitation significantly affects the risk of diarrhea in the central region, at 0 months of lag time, with an RR of 3.05 (95% CI 2.09, 4.01). Conclusion: This study identified a high incidence of diarrhea in the rainy season and in the deficient developed regions of Surabaya, providing evidence that weather magnifies the adverse effects of inadequate environmental sanitation. This study suggests the local environmental and health sectors codevelop a weather-based early warning system and improve local sanitation practices as prevention measures in response to increasing risks of infectious diseases.

Keywords: diarrhea; generalized additive model; meteorological variables; Surabaya (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I I1 I3 Q Q5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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