The Impact of Economic Growth Target Constraints on Environmental Pollution: Evidence from China

Changfei Nie, Wen Luo, Yuan Feng and Zhi Chen ()
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Changfei Nie: School of Economics and Management, Nanchang University, Nanchang 330031, China
Wen Luo: School of Economics and Management, Nanchang University, Nanchang 330031, China
Yuan Feng: College of City Construction, Jiangxi Normal University, Nanchang 330022, China
Zhi Chen: School of Economics and Trade, Hubei University of Economics, Wuhan 430205, China

IJERPH, 2023, vol. 20, issue 4, 1-23

Abstract: Economic growth target (EGT) has become an essential tool for macroeconomic administration all around the world. This study examines the effect and mechanisms of EGT on environmental pollution (EP) by using economic growth target data from provincial Government Work Reports in China from 2003–2019. The conclusions denote that EGT significantly aggravates regional EP, and it still stands after robustness tests and instrumental variable (IV) estimation. The result of mediating effect shows that EGT aggravates EP mainly from three ways: investment surge, technological innovation, and resource allocation. The result of the moderating effect shows that government’s fiscal space positively adjusts the effect of EGT on EP, while environmental regulation negatively adjusts the effect of EGT on EP. The heterogeneity test reflects that the effect of EGT on EP is more significant on provinces that adopt a “hard constraint” setting method and fulfill EGT. Our study provides a reference to better balance the link between EGT and sustainable development for the government department.

Keywords: economic growth target; goal constraint; environmental pollution; sustainable development; China (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I I1 I3 Q Q5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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