Effects of Heatwaves on Hospital Admissions for Cardiovascular and Respiratory Diseases, in Southern Vietnam, 2010–2018: Time Series Analysis

Nguyen Thi Trang Nhung, Le Tu Hoang (), Tran Thi Tuyet Hanh, Luu Quoc Toan, Nguyen Duc Thanh, Nguyen Xuan Truong, Nguyen Anh Son, Hoong Van Nhat, Nguyen Huu Quyen and Ha Van Nhu
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Nguyen Thi Trang Nhung: Faculty of Fundamental Sciences, Hanoi University of Public Health, Hanoi 10000, Vietnam
Le Tu Hoang: Faculty of Fundamental Sciences, Hanoi University of Public Health, Hanoi 10000, Vietnam
Tran Thi Tuyet Hanh: Faculty of Environmental and Occupational Health, Hanoi University of Public Health, Hanoi 10000, Vietnam
Luu Quoc Toan: Faculty of Environmental and Occupational Health, Hanoi University of Public Health, Hanoi 10000, Vietnam
Nguyen Duc Thanh: Ministry of Health, Hanoi 10000, Vietnam
Nguyen Xuan Truong: Ministry of Health, Hanoi 10000, Vietnam
Nguyen Anh Son: Ministry of Health, Hanoi 10000, Vietnam
Hoong Van Nhat: Ministry of Health, Hanoi 10000, Vietnam
Nguyen Huu Quyen: Institute of Hydrology and Meteorology Science and Climate Change, Hanoi 10000, Vietnam
Ha Van Nhu: Faculty of Basic Medicine, Hanoi University of Public Health, Hanoi 10000, Vietnam

IJERPH, 2023, vol. 20, issue 5, 1-11

Abstract: This study investigated the associations between heatwaves and daily hospital admissions for cardiovascular and respiratory diseases in two provinces in Viet Nam known to be vulnerable to droughts during 2010–2018. This study applied a time series analysis with data extracted from the electronic database of provincial hospitals and meteorological stations from the corresponding province. To eliminate over-dispersion, this time series analysis used Quasi-Poisson regression. The models were controlled for the day of the week, holiday, time trend, and relative humidity. Heatwaves were defined as the maximum temperature exceeding P90th over the period from 2010 to 2018 during at least three consecutive days. Data from 31,191 hospital admissions for respiratory diseases and 29,056 hospitalizations for cardiovascular diseases were investigated in the two provinces. Associations between hospital admissions for respiratory diseases and heatwaves in Ninh Thuan were observed at lag 2, with excess risk (ER = 8.31%, 95% confidence interval: 0.64–16.55%). However, heatwaves were negatively associated with cardiovascular diseases in Ca Mau, which was determined amongst the elderly (age above 60), ER = −7.28%, 95%CI: −13.97–−0.08%. Heatwaves can be a risk factor for hospital admission due to respiratory diseases in Vietnam. Further studies need to be conducted to assert the link between heat waves and cardiovascular diseases.

Keywords: heatwaves; hospital admissions; cardiovascular; respiratory; time-series analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I I1 I3 Q Q5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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