The Impact of Climate Change Awareness on Fertility Intentions in Palestinian Society: Mediating Role of Threat Perception

Maryam W. Fasfous (), Mohamed N. Abdel-Fattah and Sarah A. Ibrahim
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Maryam W. Fasfous: Department of Biostatistics and Demography, Faculty of Graduate Studies for Statistical Research, Cairo University, Cairo 12613, Egypt
Mohamed N. Abdel-Fattah: Department of Biostatistics and Demography, Faculty of Graduate Studies for Statistical Research, Cairo University, Cairo 12613, Egypt
Sarah A. Ibrahim: Department of Biostatistics and Demography, Faculty of Graduate Studies for Statistical Research, Cairo University, Cairo 12613, Egypt

IJERPH, 2025, vol. 22, issue 8, 1-19

Abstract: Fertility is considered a significant demographic concern, especially in relation to climate change. This study examines how awareness of climate change, measured by five subscales—climate-friendly behavior, knowledge, personal concern, attitude, and multiplicative action—affects fertility intentions, emphasizing the mediating role of threat perception. Data were collected through an online survey administered to a sample of 817 Palestinian citizens aged 18–49 residing in the West Bank. Structural equation modeling (SEM) was utilized for the data analysis. The results revealed that climate change awareness does not directly affect fertility intentions. However, an indirect effect of climate change awareness on fertility intentions was observed, mediated by threat perception as an intervening variable. Individuals exhibiting increased awareness of climate change and perceptions of future risks demonstrated a greater likelihood of reducing their fertility intentions compared to others. Policymakers in the Palestinian territories should prioritize enhancing public awareness regarding climate change and its associated short- and long-term threats. Therefore, incorporating climate education and associated risks into fertility health programs is essential.

Keywords: climate change; awareness; fertility intention; threat perception; Palestine (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I I1 I3 Q Q5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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