Dynamic Model of HIV/AIDS Population of Agra Region

D. K. Chaturvedi
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D. K. Chaturvedi: Reader, Faculty of Engineering, D.E.I. (Deemed University), Dayalbagh, Agra, India

IJERPH, 2005, vol. 2, issue 3, 1-10

Abstract: The Human Immunodeficiency Virus / Acquired Immunodeficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS) is spreading rapidly in all regions of the world. But in India it is only 20 years old. Within this short period it has emerged as one of the most serious public health problems in the country, which greatly affect the socio-economical growth. The HIV problem is very complex and ill defined from the modeling point of view. Keeping in the view the complexities of the HIV infection and its transmission, it is difficult to make exact estimates of HIV prevalence. It is more so in the Indian context, with its typical and varied cultural characteristics, and its traditions and values with special reference to sex related risk behaviors. Therefore, it is necessary to develop a good model which will help in making exact estimates of HIV prevalence that may be used for planning HIV / AIDS prevention and control programs. In this paper Neuro-Fuzzy approach has been used to develop dynamic model of HIV population of Agra region.

Keywords: HIV; AIDS; Modeling; Agra region (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I I1 I3 Q Q5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2005
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