Global Scenarios of Air Pollutant Emissions from Road Transport through to 2050

Takayuki Takeshita
Additional contact information
Takayuki Takeshita: Transdisciplinary Initiative for Global Sustainability, The University of Tokyo, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo 113-8654, Japan

IJERPH, 2011, vol. 8, issue 7, 1-31

Abstract: This paper presents global scenarios of sulphur dioxide (SO 2 ), nitrogen oxides (NO x ), and particulate matter (PM) emissions from road transport through to 2050, taking into account the potential impacts of: (1) the timing of air pollutant emission regulation implementation in developing countries; (2) global CO 2 mitigation policy implementation; and (3) vehicle cost assumptions, on study results. This is done by using a global energy system model treating the transport sector in detail. The major conclusions are the following. First, as long as non-developed countries adopt the same vehicle emission standards as in developed countries within a 30-year lag, global emissions of SO 2 , NO x , and PM from road vehicles decrease substantially over time. Second, light-duty vehicles and heavy-duty trucks make a large and increasing contribution to future global emissions of SO 2 , NO x , and PM from road vehicles. Third, the timing of air pollutant emission regulation implementation in developing countries has a large impact on future global emissions of SO 2 , NO x , and PM from road vehicles, whereas there is a possibility that global CO 2 mitigation policy implementation has a comparatively small impact on them .

Keywords: air pollutants; road transport; global energy system model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: I I1 I3 Q Q5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/8/7/3032/pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/8/7/3032/ (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:8:y:2011:i:7:p:3032-3062:d:13280

Access Statistics for this article

IJERPH is currently edited by Ms. Jenna Liu

More articles in IJERPH from MDPI
Bibliographic data for series maintained by MDPI Indexing Manager ().