Trends and Trajectories: A Bibliometric Analysis of Financial Risk (2015–2024)

Jiajia Liu, Yibin Liu, Lijun Ren, Xuerong Li () and Shouyang Wang
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Jiajia Liu: School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing 100029, China
Yibin Liu: School of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Chemical Technology, Beijing 100029, China
Lijun Ren: School of Economics, Xiamen University, Xiamen 361005, China
Xuerong Li: Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100864, China
Shouyang Wang: Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100864, China

IJFS, 2025, vol. 13, issue 3, 1-27

Abstract: This study conducts a comprehensive bibliometric analysis and predictive modeling of financial risk research from 2015 to 2024, integrating conceptual, knowledge, and collaboration perspectives. Utilizing the PRISMA framework for literature screening, the study identifies publications, research areas, and research institutions. A co-citation network approach reveals the intellectual structure and milestone works, while emergent keyword detection highlights cutting-edge topics such as economic policy uncertainty, climate risk, and green innovation. Furthermore, the study proposes a novel semantic forecasting model, SEF-ACLSTM (Semantic Evolution Forecasting with Aligned Clustered LSTM), to predict the evolution of research themes through 2030. The results identify three major thematic clusters: methodological innovation, traditional risk management, and green finance. The predictive analysis indicates a growing emphasis on methodological and sustainability-oriented topics, suggesting a paradigmatic shift in financial risk research. The findings offer theoretical insights and strategic guidance for future academic inquiry and policy formulation.

Keywords: financial risk; citation analysis; Hawkes processes; green finance (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F2 F3 F41 F42 G1 G2 G3 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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