Global Index on Financial Losses Due to Crime in the United States

Thilini Mahanama, Abootaleb Shirvani and Svetlozar T. Rachev
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Thilini Mahanama: Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX 79409, USA
Abootaleb Shirvani: College of Business and Public Administration, Drake University, Des Moines, IA 50311, USA
Svetlozar T. Rachev: Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX 79409, USA

JRFM, 2021, vol. 14, issue 7, 1-16

Abstract: Despite the potential importance of crime rates in investments, there are no indices dedicated to evaluating the financial impact of crime in the United States. As such, this paper presents an index-based insurance portfolio for crime in the United States by utilizing the financial losses reported by the Federal Bureau of Investigation. The objective of our paper is to introduce new risk hedging financial contracts for crime, consistent with dynamic asset pricing. Underlying the index, we hedge the investments by issuing marketable European call and put options and providing risk budgets. These budgets show that real estate, ransomware, and government impersonation are the main risk contributors in our index. Next, we evaluate the performance of our index via stress testing to determine its resilience to economic crisis. Of all the factors considered in this study, unemployment rate has the potential to demonstrate the highest systemic risk to the portfolio. Our portfolio will help investors envision risk exposure in the market, gauge investment risk based on their desired risk level, and hedge strategies for potential losses due to economic crashes. In conclusion, we provide a basis for the securitization of insurance risk from certain crimes that could forewarn investors to transfer their risk to capital market investors.

Keywords: securitization of insurance risk; financial losses due to crime; index-based derivatives (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C E F2 F3 G (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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