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An Equilibrium-Based Measure of Systemic Risk

Katerina Ivanov, James Schulte, Weidong Tian and Kevin Tseng
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Katerina Ivanov: McColl School of Business, Queens University of Charlotte, Charlotte, NC 28274, USA
James Schulte: Department of Economics, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32306, USA
Weidong Tian: Belk College of Business, University of North Carolina at Charlotte, Charlotte, NC 28223, USA
Kevin Tseng: College of Management, National Taiwan University, Taipei 10617, Taiwan

JRFM, 2021, vol. 14, issue 9, 1-24

Abstract: This paper develops and implements an equilibrium model of systemic risk. The model derives a systemic risk measure, loss beta, in characterizing all too-big-to-fail banks using a capital insurance equilibrium. By constructing each bank’s loss portfolio with a recent accounting approach, we perform a comprehensive empirical study of this loss beta measure and document all TBTF banks from 2002 to 2019. Our empirical findings suggest a significant number of too-big-to-fail banks in 2018–2019.

Keywords: systemic risk; too big to fail; capital insurance; loss beta (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C E F2 F3 G (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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