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Chinese vs. US Stock Market Transmission to Australasia, Hong Kong, and the ASEAN Group

Richard C. K. Burdekin () and Ran Tao
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Richard C. K. Burdekin: Robert Day School of Economics & Finance, Claremont McKenna College, 500 E. Ninth Street, Claremont, CA 91711, USA
Ran Tao: Department of Economics Business and Finance, Lake Forest College, 555 North Sheridan Road, Lake Forest, IL 60045, USA

JRFM, 2025, vol. 18, issue 3, 1-23

Abstract: This study seeks to quantify the rising financial linkages between mainland China, Australia, Hong Kong, New Zealand, and the six largest Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN group). Stock market co-movements would be consistent with growing trade ties. Our sample runs from 2010 through 2022, including the coronavirus pandemic. Markov switching analysis allows for changing effects as we move from periods of low market volatility to periods of high volatility. The results offer support for the premise that growing trade and investment ties between China, Australasia, Hong Kong, and the ASEAN region have been accompanied by significant financial market integration, as reflected in stock market co-movement. US effects are also significant and tend to be stronger during high-volatility episodes. Under low-volatility conditions, Shanghai effects become more important and are significant for all six ASEAN group countries.

Keywords: stock markets; international transmission; Australasia; ASEAN; China; Markov switching; F42; F36 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C E F2 F3 G (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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