The Influence of Natural and Anthropogenic Forcing on Water and Energy Balance and on Photosynthesis
Jaeyoung Song,
Sungbo Shim,
Ji-Sun Kim,
Jae-Hee Lee,
Young-Hwa Byun and
Yeon-Hee Kim
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Jaeyoung Song: Innovative Meteorological Research Department, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Seogwipo-si 63568, Korea
Sungbo Shim: Innovative Meteorological Research Department, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Seogwipo-si 63568, Korea
Ji-Sun Kim: Innovative Meteorological Research Department, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Seogwipo-si 63568, Korea
Jae-Hee Lee: Innovative Meteorological Research Department, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Seogwipo-si 63568, Korea
Young-Hwa Byun: Innovative Meteorological Research Department, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Seogwipo-si 63568, Korea
Yeon-Hee Kim: Innovative Meteorological Research Department, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Seogwipo-si 63568, Korea
Land, 2021, vol. 10, issue 11, 1-18
Abstract:
Land surface processes are rarely studied in Detection and Attribution Model Inter-comparison Project (DAMIP) experiments on climate change. We analyzed a CMIP6 DAMIP historical experiment by using multi-linear regression (MLRM) and analysis of variance methods. We focused on energy and water budgets, including gross primary productivity (GPP). In MLRM, we estimated each forcing’s contribution and identified the role of natural forcing, which is usually ignored. Contributions of the forcing factors varied by region, and high-ranked variables such as net radiation could receive multiple influences. Greenhouse gases (GHG) accelerated energy and water cycles over the global land surface, including evapotranspiration, runoff, GPP, and water-use efficiency. Aerosol (AER) forcing displayed the opposite characteristics, and natural forcing accounted for short-term changes. A long-term analysis of total soil moisture and water budget indicated that as the AER increases, the available water on the global land increases continuously. In the recent past, an increase in net radiation (i.e., a lowered AER) reduced surface moisture and hastened surface water cycle (GHG effect). The results imply that aerosol emission and its counterbalance to GHG are essential to most land surface processes. The exception to this is GPP, which was overdominated by GHG effects.
Keywords: DAMIP; CMIP6; land surface process; energy balance; water balance; gross primary productivity (GPP); green house gases; aerosol; climate change (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q15 Q2 Q24 Q28 Q5 R14 R52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jlands:v:10:y:2021:i:11:p:1151-:d:667547
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