Species Distribution Modeling of the Breeding Site Distribution and Conservation Gaps of Lesser White-Fronted Goose in Siberia under Climate Change

Rong Fan, Jialin Lei, Entao Wu, Cai Lu, Yifei Jia, Qing Zeng and Guangchun Lei ()
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Rong Fan: School of Ecology and Nature Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
Jialin Lei: School of Ecology and Nature Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
Entao Wu: School of Ecology and Nature Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
Cai Lu: School of Ecology and Nature Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
Yifei Jia: School of Ecology and Nature Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
Qing Zeng: School of Ecology and Nature Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
Guangchun Lei: School of Ecology and Nature Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China

Land, 2022, vol. 11, issue 11, 1-21

Abstract: Climate change has become an important cause of the loss of bird habitat and changes in bird migration and reproduction. The lesser white-fronted goose ( Anser erythropus ) has a wide range of migratory habits and is listed as vulnerable on the IUCN (International Union for Conservation of Nature) Red List. In this study, the distribution of suitable breeding grounds for the lesser white-fronted goose was assessed in Siberia, Russia, using a combination of satellite tracking and climate change data. The characteristics of the distribution of suitable breeding sites under different climate scenarios in the future were predicted using the Maxent model, and protection gaps were assessed. The analysis showed that under the background of future climate change, temperature and precipitation will be the main climatic factors affecting the distribution of breeding grounds, and the area associated with suitable breeding habitats will present a decreasing trend. Areas listed as an optimal habitat only accounted for 3.22% of the protected distribution; however, 1,029,386.341 km 2 of optimal habitat was observed outside the protected area. Obtaining species distribution data is important for developing habitat protection in remote areas. The results presented here can provide a basis for developing species-specific habitat management strategies and indicate that additional attention should be focused on protecting open spaces.

Keywords: climate change; lesser white-fronted goose; breeding sites; conservation gaps; species habitat conservation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q15 Q2 Q24 Q28 Q5 R14 R52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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