Mapping Priority Areas for Connectivity of Yellow-Winged Darter ( Sympetrum flaveolum, Linnaeus 1758) under Climate Change

Víctor Rincón (), Javier Velázquez, Derya Gülçin, Aida López-Sánchez, Carlos Jiménez, Ali Uğur Özcan, Juan Carlos López-Almansa, Tomás Santamaría, Daniel Sánchez-Mata and Kerim Çiçek
Additional contact information
Víctor Rincón: Faculty of Pharmacy, Department of Pharmacology, Complutense University of Madrid, Plaza de Ramón y Cajal, s/n, 28040 Madrid, Spain
Javier Velázquez: Department of Environment and Agroforestry, Faculty of Sciences and Arts, Catholic University of Ávila, 05005 Ávila, Spain
Derya Gülçin: Department of Landscape Architecture, Faculty of Agriculture, Aydın Adnan Menderes University, Aydın 09100, Turkey
Aida López-Sánchez: Department of Environment and Agroforestry, Faculty of Sciences and Arts, Catholic University of Ávila, 05005 Ávila, Spain
Carlos Jiménez: Department of Environment and Agroforestry, Faculty of Sciences and Arts, Catholic University of Ávila, 05005 Ávila, Spain
Ali Uğur Özcan: Department of Landscape Architecture, Faculty of Forestry, Çankırı Karatekin University, Çankırı 18200, Turkey
Juan Carlos López-Almansa: Department of Environment and Agroforestry, Faculty of Sciences and Arts, Catholic University of Ávila, 05005 Ávila, Spain
Tomás Santamaría: Department of Environment and Agroforestry, Faculty of Sciences and Arts, Catholic University of Ávila, 05005 Ávila, Spain
Daniel Sánchez-Mata: Faculty of Pharmacy, Department of Pharmacology, Complutense University of Madrid, Plaza de Ramón y Cajal, s/n, 28040 Madrid, Spain
Kerim Çiçek: Faculty of Science, Department of Biology, Section of Zoology, Ege University, Izmir 35100, Turkey

Land, 2023, vol. 12, issue 2, 1-39

Abstract: The yellow-winged darter ( Sympetrum flaveolum Linnaeus, 1758, Odonata), which is associated with high mountain areas, can be considered a flagship species. Due to climate change, its natural range will be negatively affected. In this study, we propose global potential distributions for this species up to the year 2100, considering four time periods (2021–2040, 2041–2060, 2061–2080, and 2081–2100) and three shared socioeconomic pathways (optimistic—SSP245, middle of the road—SSP370, and worst—SSP585), by using an ecological niche model to produce two sets of distribution models (80% to 100% and 60% to 100%). It is foreseen that in the worst of the considered climate scenario (SSP585– 2100 year), the distribution of this species could be reduced by almost half, which could pose a risk for the species and provoke the shift from vulnerable to endangered. An analysis of connectivity has also been carried out for all the studied scenarios by applying the MSPA and PC indices, showing that the core habitat of this species will become more important, which is consistent with the decrease in the distribution range. Over time, the importance of the most valuable connectors will increase, implying a greater risk of some populations becoming isolated.

Keywords: ecological connectivity; climate change; MSPA; ecological niche modeling; PC index; dragonfly; Odonata (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q15 Q2 Q24 Q28 Q5 R14 R52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/2/298/pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/2/298/ (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jlands:v:12:y:2023:i:2:p:298-:d:1042336

Access Statistics for this article

Land is currently edited by Ms. Carol Ma

More articles in Land from MDPI
Bibliographic data for series maintained by MDPI Indexing Manager ().