Spatial and Temporal Changes in Ecological Resilience in the Shanxi–Shaanxi–Inner Mongolia Energy Zone with Multi-Scenario Simulation

Xinmeng Cai, Yongyong Song (), Dongqian Xue, Beibei Ma, Xianfeng Liu and Liwei Zhang
Additional contact information
Xinmeng Cai: School of Geography and Tourism, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi’an 710119, China
Yongyong Song: School of Geography and Tourism, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi’an 710119, China
Dongqian Xue: School of Geography and Tourism, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi’an 710119, China
Beibei Ma: School of Geography and Tourism, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi’an 710119, China
Xianfeng Liu: School of Geography and Tourism, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi’an 710119, China
Liwei Zhang: School of Geography and Tourism, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi’an 710119, China

Land, 2024, vol. 13, issue 4, 1-21

Abstract: The energy-driven expansion of artificial surfaces has resulted in severe ecological problems. Scientific evaluation of regional ecological resilience under different scenarios is crucial for promoting ecological restoration. This study chose the Shanxi–Shaanxi–Inner Mongolia Energy Zone (SEZ) and modeled an ecological resilience evaluation based on resistance, adaptability, and recovery. Land-use change and ecological resilience from 1980 to 2020 were then analyzed. Moreover, the SEZ land-use patterns and ecological resilience in 2030 were simulated under business as usual (BAU), energy and mineral development (EMD), and ecological conservation and restoration (ECR) scenarios. The results showed that (1) the SEZ was dominated by cultivated land, grassland, and unused land. (2) Ecological resilience showed a changing trend of decreasing and then increasing, with high ecological resilience areas mainly located in the Yellow River Basin, whereas low ecological resilience areas spread outward from the central urban areas. (3) The ecological resilience level was the lowest under the EMD scenario and the highest under the ECR scenario. This study not only expands the analysis framework of ecological resilience research but also provides scientific support for ecological conservation in ecologically fragile areas with intensive human activity worldwide.

Keywords: ecological resilience; PLUS model; multi-scenario simulation; land use (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q15 Q2 Q24 Q28 Q5 R14 R52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/13/4/425/pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/13/4/425/ (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jlands:v:13:y:2024:i:4:p:425-:d:1364808

Access Statistics for this article

Land is currently edited by Ms. Carol Ma

More articles in Land from MDPI
Bibliographic data for series maintained by MDPI Indexing Manager ().