A Spatiotemporal Analysis of the Relationship Between Construction Land Supply and High-Quality Urban Development: Evidence from 285 Chinese Cities

Lingyu Zhang, Yang Zhang, Juan Li, Chengchao Yang and Yaolin Liu ()
Additional contact information
Lingyu Zhang: School of Resource and Environmental Sciences, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, China
Yang Zhang: College of Geography and Planning, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610059, China
Juan Li: College of Geography and Planning, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610059, China
Chengchao Yang: College of Geography and Planning, Chengdu University of Technology, Chengdu 610059, China
Yaolin Liu: School of Resource and Environmental Sciences, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, China

Land, 2025, vol. 14, issue 12, 1-28

Abstract: As the spatial carrier of urban development, construction land is a fundamental element for achieving high-quality urban development (HQUD). This study examines the impact of construction land supply on HQUD across 285 Chinese cities. A HQUD evaluation model is created to assess each city’s development level. The GTWR model is then applied to explore the dynamic spatial effects of land supply on HQUD level. The results show the following: (1) The construction land supply exhibited a fluctuating trend accompanied by notable spatial disparities, with hotspots concentrated in coastal areas and cold spots in the northwest and northeast. (2) The HQUD levels consistently increased, forming a stepwise spatial pattern—highest in the east, followed by central and western regions—with localized spatial convergence. (3) The factors influencing HQUD are highly volatile. Industrial agglomeration, resource optimization, and land investment returns drive commercial land supply, investment intensity, and land prices, fostering positive development. However, excessive population density and inadequate public service land may impose pressure on resources and strained public services, hindering progress. Industrial land supply has supported industrial upgrading, shifting its impact from negative to positive. Over-reliance on real estate development can cause resource waste, social instability, and hinder sustainability, reversing the positive effects of residential land supply. This paper clarifies the complex relationship between construction land supply and HQUD, providing empirical guidance for region-specific land supply strategies.

Keywords: high-quality urban development; construction land supply; geographically and temporally weighted regression (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q15 Q2 Q24 Q28 Q5 R14 R52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/14/12/2359/pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/14/12/2359/ (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jlands:v:14:y:2025:i:12:p:2359-:d:1809031

Access Statistics for this article

Land is currently edited by Ms. Carol Ma

More articles in Land from MDPI
Bibliographic data for series maintained by MDPI Indexing Manager ().