Spatiotemporal Coupling of New-Type Urbanization and Ecosystem Services in the Huaihe River Basin, China: Heterogeneity and Regulatory Strategy

Muyi Huang (), Qin Guo, Guozhao Zhang, Yuru Tang and Xue Wu
Additional contact information
Muyi Huang: School of Environment and Energy Engineering, Anhui Jianzhu University, Hefei 230601, China
Qin Guo: School of Architecture and Urban Planning, Anhui Jianzhu University, Hefei 230601, China
Guozhao Zhang: School of Environment and Energy Engineering, Anhui Jianzhu University, Hefei 230601, China
Yuru Tang: School of Architecture and Urban Planning, Anhui Jianzhu University, Hefei 230601, China
Xue Wu: School of Environment and Energy Engineering, Anhui Jianzhu University, Hefei 230601, China

Land, 2025, vol. 14, issue 2, 1-25

Abstract: Strengthening the exploration of synergistic promotion mechanisms between ecosystem services (ESs) and new urbanization is of great significance for watershed development. In this work, we revealed the evolution mechanism of coupling coordination development degree (CCD) between ESs and new urbanization and its driving factors in the Huaihe River Basin (HRB) from 1980 to 2020 using a combination of the CCD model, Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis (ESDA) method, and GeoDetector model. Additionally, we employed the PLUS model to investigate multi-scenario simulations. The results demonstrate that ESs showed a decline initially, followed by an increase, while the urbanization index showed consistent annual growth over the four decades. Furthermore, the CCD between the ESs and urbanization showed a yearly optimization trend. The CCD demonstrated notable spatial clustering characteristics, with factors such as precipitation, distance from water body, elevation, and per area GDP emerged as the primary drivers. Under scenarios of ecological protection, comprehensive development, and natural protection, the value of ESs from 2020 to 2050 maintained an upward trend; however, it fell with the decrease under the scenario of cropland protection. These research findings offer valuable decision-making support for the differentiated regulation of ecosystem functions and promotion of high-quality urbanization development in the HRB.

Keywords: ecosystem services; urbanization; coupling coordination; scenario simulation; Huaihe River Basin (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q15 Q2 Q24 Q28 Q5 R14 R52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/14/2/286/pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/14/2/286/ (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jlands:v:14:y:2025:i:2:p:286-:d:1580188

Access Statistics for this article

Land is currently edited by Ms. Carol Ma

More articles in Land from MDPI
Bibliographic data for series maintained by MDPI Indexing Manager ().