Exploring the Synergy Between Transport Superiority and the Rural Population System in Yunnan Province: A Temporal and Spatial Analysis for 2013 to 2021

Qiuchen Hong, Zonghan Zhang, Ruijia Wang, Shuyu Zhou, Yao Dai, Jinmin Hao and Dong Ai ()
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Qiuchen Hong: College of Land Science and Technology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China
Zonghan Zhang: College of Land Science and Technology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China
Ruijia Wang: College of Land Science and Technology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China
Shuyu Zhou: College of Land Science and Technology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China
Yao Dai: College of Land Science and Technology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China
Jinmin Hao: College of Land Science and Technology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China
Dong Ai: College of Land Science and Technology, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100193, China

Land, 2025, vol. 14, issue 4, 1-20

Abstract: Yunnan Province, which is located in the mountainous plateau region of China, faces numerous challenges, including the population decline of rural areas. Achieving coordinated development between the transportation and rural population systems is crucial for fostering sustainable growth. In this study, we developed a rural population pressure state response (PPSR) model and a comprehensive transport superiority (TS) model that considers the influence of aviation. We quantified the rural population system and horizontal transportation superiority across Yunnan’s districts and counties for the period 2013 to 2021, examining their temporal and spatial heterogeneity. Using a spatial autocorrelation model, we also explored the trade-offs and synergy between Yunnan’s TS and PPSR. The main findings are as follows. (1) From 2013 to 2021, the spatial polarization pattern of PPSR in Yunnan Province gradually weakened, and there were different degrees of rural contraction overall. (2) From 2013 to 2021, Yunnan’s TS significantly increased, with aviation conditions having a notably positive impact, further strengthening Kunming’s position as the regional core. (3) In Yunnan, the relationship between TS and PPSR is significant, with a collaborative pattern emerging across districts and counties, reflecting distinct regional characteristics and a degree of polarization. This study provides valuable insights for integrating urban and rural development in plateau and mountainous areas and offers a new perspective for rural revitalization.

Keywords: transport superiority; rural population system; pressure state response model; Yunnan province; spatial analysis; aviation enhancement effect (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q15 Q2 Q24 Q28 Q5 R14 R52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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