Regional Development Scenario Evaluation through Land Use Modelling and Opportunity Mapping

Harutyun Shahumyan, Brendan Williams, Laura Petrov and Walter Foley
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Harutyun Shahumyan: School of Geography, Planning and Environmental Policy, University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland
Brendan Williams: School of Geography, Planning and Environmental Policy, University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland
Laura Petrov: Modelling and Coordination of Scientific Support for Impact Assessment, European Commission-Joint Research Centre, Brussels 1050, Belgium
Walter Foley: School of Geography, Planning and Environmental Policy, University College Dublin, Belfield, Dublin 4, Ireland

Land, 2014, vol. 3, issue 3, 1-34

Abstract: In the context of sustainable urban development, the application of selected indicators integrated with scenario simulation and analysis can contribute to evidence-based decision making. This paper discusses the application of land use modelling and opportunity mapping approaches to evaluate regional development scenarios for the Greater Dublin Region in the period to 2026 evolving from research initially developed with the Dublin Regional Authority. This involved the simulation of four different future regional development scenarios using an adapted version of the MOLAND model with opportunity maps based on combined spatial indicators corresponding to these scenarios. The results produce valuable information for policy makers and planners assisting the evaluation of the consequences of their decisions in both a spatial and temporal context. This paper aims to show how current and future planning and economic policy can make targeted and evidence-based policy interventions and achieve resource efficiencies through the use of scenario analysis.

Keywords: land use; model; MOLAND; scenario; indicators; multi-criteria analysis; Z -score; opportunity mapping; decision making (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q15 Q2 Q24 Q28 Q5 R14 R52 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jlands:v:3:y:2014:i:3:p:1180-1213:d:40448

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