Risk Analysis of Transport Requalification Projects in the Urban Mobility Problem Caused by a Mining Disaster

Marcele Elisa Fontana (), Natallya de Almeida Levino, José Leão, Patrícia Guarnieri and Emerson Philipe Sinesio
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Marcele Elisa Fontana: Department of Mechanical Engineering, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE), Recife 50740-550, Brazil
Natallya de Almeida Levino: Department of Business Administration, Universidade Federal de Alagoas, Maceío 57072-970, Brazil
José Leão: Departament of Tecnology, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE), Caruaru 55014-900, Brazil
Patrícia Guarnieri: Department of Business Administration, Universidade de Brasília (UnB), Brasília 70910-900, Brazil
Emerson Philipe Sinesio: Post-Graduate Program in Management, Innovation and Consumption, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE), Caruaru 55014-900, Brazil

Logistics, 2023, vol. 7, issue 3, 1-17

Abstract: Background: This paper proposes a risk analysis of transport requalification projects in the urban mobility problem caused by a mining disaster related to irregular rock salt extraction in the city of Maceió, Brazil. Methods: The model is composed of three main steps: problem definition, risk management, and decision analysis. For this purpose, we used the Picture Fuzzy-Delphi method for data collection and experts’ judgment elicitation and the Delphi method was used to assess the problem without interference from others. In addition, we used Picture Fuzzy Sets (PFSs) to incorporate uncertain information in the decision-making process. Results: The results of the proposed model demonstrated consistency and relevance to the discussion. The application of methods shows the risks of the project based on a general perspective. It evaluates the sustainability tripod: economic, environmental, and social points of view, assessing the occurrence risk and intensity of the risk. Conclusions: The main objective of the work was achieved; however, some limitations of this study are related to the methods used to assess risks and the options of projects of requalification available at the moment of data analysis. This paper contributes because it systematizes the risk management of projects related to requalification in urban mobility.

Keywords: transportation; sustainability; risk management; group decision-making; fuzzy Delphi method; Copeland method (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: L8 L80 L81 L86 L87 L9 L90 L91 L92 L93 L98 L99 M1 M10 M11 M16 M19 R4 R40 R41 R49 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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