Examining the Application Possibilities and Economic Issues of an Alternative Drive Chain in Hungary: Scenario Analysis

Adrienn Boldizsár (), Ádám Török and Norina Szander
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Adrienn Boldizsár: Department of Information Technology, GAMF Faculty of Engineering and Computer Science, John von Neumann University, 6000 Kecskemét, Hungary
Ádám Török: Faculty of Transportation Engineering and Vehicle Engineering, Budapest University of Technology and Economics, 1111 Budapest, Hungary
Norina Szander: KTI Hungarian Institute for Transport Sciences and Logistics Non Profit Limited Liability Company, 1139 Budapest, Hungary

Logistics, 2025, vol. 9, issue 2, 1-17

Abstract: Background : A societal shift in attitudes is going to be required to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the field of transportation, which is crucial to the level of mitigation that can be achieved. There is increasing pressure on policymakers to address climate change and, in turn, to promote sustainable transport. The sector’s decarbonization is essential to meet climate change targets, and alternative powertrains, particularly battery electric trucks, can play a key role. However, international research shows that the solutions and strategic plan proposals are primarily developed in isolation according to the country’s specific conditions. Methods : This study aims to compare battery electric trucks and conventional internal combustion engine trucks in Hungary, focusing on the total cost of ownership over ten years. Results : This study examines the cost parameters for operating electric and conventional trucks, based on current economic conditions. In addition, alternative studies have been carried out to see what additional savings can be expected by changing the parameters under consideration. This research examines four scenarios that model changes in state subsidies, tolls, and excise duties alongside current cost parameters. Conclusions : The results suggest that public policy interventions play a key role in developing sustainable transport systems, particularly to preserve the competitiveness of small and medium-sized enterprises.

Keywords: sustainable transport; electric truck; CO 2 emission; operating cost; scenario analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: L8 L80 L81 L86 L87 L9 L90 L91 L92 L93 L98 L99 M1 M10 M11 M16 M19 R4 R40 R41 R49 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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