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On Robustness for Spatio-Temporal Data

Alfonso García-Pérez
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Alfonso García-Pérez: Departamento de Estadística, I.O. y C.N., Universidad Nacional de Educación a Distancia (UNED), Senda del Rey 9, 28040 Madrid, Spain

Mathematics, 2022, vol. 10, issue 10, 1-17

Abstract: The spatio-temporal variogram is an important factor in spatio-temporal prediction through kriging, especially in fields such as environmental sustainability or climate change, where spatio-temporal data analysis is based on this concept. However, the traditional spatio-temporal variogram estimator, which is commonly employed for these purposes, is extremely sensitive to outliers. We approach this problem in two ways in the paper. First, new robust spatio-temporal variogram estimators are introduced, which are defined as M -estimators of an original data transformation. Second, we compare the classical estimate against a robust one, identifying spatio-temporal outliers in this way. To accomplish this, we use a multivariate scale-contaminated normal model to produce reliable approximations for the sample distribution of these new estimators. In addition, we define and study a new class of M -estimators in this paper, including real-world applications, in order to determine whether there are any significant differences in the spatio-temporal variogram between two temporal lags and, if so, whether we can reduce the number of lags considered in the spatio-temporal analysis.

Keywords: robust statistics; spatio-temporal outliers; von Mises expansions; saddlepoint approximations (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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