Intention Prediction of a Hypersonic Glide Vehicle Using a Satellite Constellation Based on Deep Learning

Yu Cheng, Cheng Wei (), Yongshang Wei, Bindi You and Yang Zhao
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Yu Cheng: School of Aeronautics, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150006, China
Cheng Wei: School of Aeronautics, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150006, China
Yongshang Wei: School of Aeronautics, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150006, China
Bindi You: School of Aeronautics, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150006, China
Yang Zhao: School of Aeronautics, Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin 150006, China

Mathematics, 2022, vol. 10, issue 20, 1-28

Abstract: Tracking of hypersonic glide vehicles (HGVs) by a constellation tracking and observation system is an important part of the space-based early warning system. The uncertainty in the maneuver intentions of HGVs has a non-negligible impact on the tracking and observation process. The cooperative scheduling of multiple satellites in an environment of uncertainty in the maneuver intentions of HGVs is the main problem researched in this paper. For this problem, a satellite constellation tracking decision method that considers the HGVs’ maneuver intentions is proposed. This method is based on building an HGV maneuver intention model, developing a maneuver intention recognition and prediction algorithm, and designing a sensor-switching strategy to improve the local consensus-based bundle algorithm (LCBBA). Firstly, a recognizable maneuver intention model that can describe the maneuver types and directions of the HGVs in both the longitudinal and lateral directions was designed. Secondly, a maneuver intention recognition and prediction algorithm based on parallel, stacked long short-term memory neural networks (PSLSTM) was developed to obtain maneuver directions of the HGV. On the basis of that, a satellite constellation tracking decision method (referred to as SS-LCBBA in the following) considering the HGVs’ maneuver intentions was designed. Finally, the maneuver intention prediction capability of the PSLSTM network and two currently popular network structures: the multilayer LSTM (M-LSTM) and the dual-channel and bidirectional neural network (DCBNN) were tested for comparison. The simulation results show that the PSLSTM can recognize and predict the maneuver directions of HGVs with high accuracy. In the simulation of a satellite constellation tracking HGVs, the SS-LCBBA improved the cumulative tracking score compared to the LCBBA, the blackboard algorithm (BM), and the variable-center contract network algorithm (ICNP). Thus, it is concluded that SS-LCBBA has better adaptability to environments with uncertain intentions in solving multi-satellite collaborative scheduling problems.

Keywords: satellite constellation tracking system; hypersonic glide vehicles; maneuver intention prediction; sensor-switching strategy; parallel stacking neural network (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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