Markov-Chain Perturbation and Approximation Bounds in Stochastic Biochemical Kinetics

Alexander Y. Mitrophanov ()
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Alexander Y. Mitrophanov: Frederick National Laboratory for Cancer Research, National Institutes of Health, Frederick, MD 21702, USA

Mathematics, 2025, vol. 13, issue 13, 1-20

Abstract: Markov chain perturbation theory is a rapidly developing subfield of the theory of stochastic processes. This review outlines emerging applications of this theory in the analysis of stochastic models of chemical reactions, with a particular focus on biochemistry and molecular biology. We begin by discussing the general problem of approximate modeling in stochastic chemical kinetics. We then briefly review some essential mathematical results pertaining to perturbation bounds for continuous-time Markov chains, emphasizing the relationship between robustness under perturbations and the rate of exponential convergence to the stationary distribution. We illustrate the use of these results to analyze stochastic models of biochemical reactions by providing concrete examples. Particular attention is given to fundamental problems related to approximation accuracy in model reduction. These include the partial thermodynamic limit, the irreversible-reaction limit, parametric uncertainty analysis, and model reduction for linear reaction networks. We conclude by discussing generalizations and future developments of these methodologies, such as the need for time-inhomogeneous Markov models.

Keywords: stochastic reaction network; continuous-time Markov chain; birth–death process; perturbation theory; model robustness; sensitivity analysis; uncertainty quantification; model reduction; mathematical systems biology; Kolmogorov differential equations (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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