From Events to Systems: Modeling Disruption Dynamics and Resilience in Global Green Supply Chains

Fahim Sufi () and Musleh Alsulami
Additional contact information
Fahim Sufi: COEUS Institute, New Market, VA 22844, USA
Musleh Alsulami: Department of Software Engineering, College of Computing, Umm Al-Qura University, Makkah 21961, Saudi Arabia

Mathematics, 2025, vol. 13, issue 21, 1-25

Abstract: Global supply chains are increasingly exposed to systemic disruptions driven by environmental pressures, geopolitical instability, and social unrest. Although Green Supply Chain Management (GSCM) is a strategic approach balancing sustainability and competitiveness, current research remains fragmented and regionally focused. Prior research has identified critical chokepoints and conceptualized disruption propagation through simulation and event system theory, yet few studies have operationalized large-scale empirical datasets to quantify cross-domain resilience. Addressing this gap, we collected and analyzed over 1.8 million news articles from more than 705 global portals spanning October 2023 to September 2025. Using GPT-based autonomous classification, approximately 67,434 disruption events directly related to GSCM were extracted and categorized by event type, geography, and significance. A system-of-systems framework was employed, linking seven domains: environment and climate, energy and resources, manufacturing and production, logistics and transportation, trade and commerce, agri-food systems, and labor and social systems. The results demonstrate that disruptions are unevenly distributed. The United States (8945 events), China (7822), and India (5311) emerged as global hubs, while Saudi Arabia acted as a single-domain chokepoint in energy. Energy and resources accounted for 22 percent of all events, followed by logistics (19 percent) and manufacturing (17 percent). Temporal analysis revealed major spikes in February 2024 (56,595 weighted intensity units) and June 2024 (10,861 units). Correlation analysis confirmed strong interdependencies across domains with average values greater than 0.7. This study contributes a globally scalable, data-driven framework to quantify disruption intensity, frequency, and interdependence in GSCM. It advances resilience research and offers actionable insights for policymakers and industry leaders.

Keywords: green supply chain management (GSCM); system-of-systems; supply chain disruptions; event-coded data; resilience modeling (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/21/3471/pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/21/3471/ (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:13:y:2025:i:21:p:3471-:d:1784044

Access Statistics for this article

Mathematics is currently edited by Ms. Emma He

More articles in Mathematics from MDPI
Bibliographic data for series maintained by MDPI Indexing Manager ().