Prioritization of Preventive Measures: A Multi-Criteria Approach to Risk Mitigation in Road Infrastructure Projects

Aleksandar Senić, Marija Ivanović, Momčilo Dobrodolac () and Zoran Stojadinović
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Aleksandar Senić: Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia
Marija Ivanović: Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia
Momčilo Dobrodolac: Faculty of Transport and Traffic Engineering, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia
Zoran Stojadinović: Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Belgrade, 11000 Belgrade, Serbia

Mathematics, 2025, vol. 13, issue 2, 1-32

Abstract: Risk management in construction projects is a critical process aimed at identifying, evaluating, and mitigating potential risks that could impact project performance. Preventive measures play a central role in this process, serving as proactive strategies to minimize the likelihood and impact of risks on project outcomes. This study involved 37 experts from multidisciplinary fields related to road infrastructure, ensuring a diverse and comprehensive perspective on risk evaluation and prevention. The DELPHI method was employed to systematically define key risks and their corresponding preventive measures, providing a structured foundation for further analysis. The experts evaluated 302 preventive measures across 56 risks using 4 predefined criteria: implementation costs, time required for implementation, implementation complexity, and probability of success. A multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) approach was then applied to analyze these evaluations, enabling the prioritization of preventive measures and the allocation of resources toward the most effective strategies. Additionally, fuzzy logic was employed to analyze and validate the results, providing a complementary approach to the MCDM methodology. The results of this research provide a robust framework for risk management, offering practical guidance for decision makers in the construction industry. By integrating expert judgment, systematic evaluation, and advanced analytical methods, this study delivers actionable insights and establishes a reliable methodology for enhancing the effectiveness of risk mitigation in road infrastructure projects.

Keywords: risk management; preventive measures; Delphi method; multi-criteria decision making; road infrastructure (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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