Modeling of the Public Opinion Polarization Process with the Considerations of Individual Heterogeneity and Dynamic Conformity

Tinggui Chen, Qianqian Li, Jianjun Yang, Guodong Cong and Gongfa Li
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Tinggui Chen: School of Statistics and Mathematics, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou 310018, China
Qianqian Li: School of Management and E-Business, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou 310018, China
Jianjun Yang: Department of Computer Science and Information Systems, University of North Georgia, Oakwood, GA 30566, USA
Guodong Cong: School of Tourism and Urban-Rural Planning, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou 310018, China
Gongfa Li: Hubei Key Laboratory of Mechanical Transmission and Manufacturing Engineering, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430081, China

Mathematics, 2019, vol. 7, issue 10, 1-33

Abstract: Nowadays, hot issues are likely become bipolar or multipolar after heated discussion on the Internet. This article is focused on the study of the polarization phenomenon and establishes a public opinion polarization model with the considerations of individual heterogeneity and dynamic conformity. At first, this article introduces the dynamic changing function of an individual’s conformity tendency to other’s attitudes in the interaction process. It further defines the influential weight between different interactive individuals, and expands the interactive individual from complete homogeneity to initial attitude heterogeneity, and finally, conformity heterogeneity. Then, through simulation experiments, we find that the degree of changing in individual attitude is limited. That is, it is difficult for the individuals who have one directional attitude at the initial time to change into another opposite attitude through interaction. In addition, individuals with low conformity within a certain threshold are more likely to form polarization. Finally, the rationality and effectiveness of the proposed model are verified by the typical case “Mimeng Event”.

Keywords: dynamic conformity; individual heterogeneity; online collective behaviors; public opinion polarization (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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