Construction and Analysis of Actuarial Model of the Influence of Personal Tax Deferred Commercial Pension Insurance on Personal Pension Wealth in China

Wenguang Yu, Fei Wang, Qianshun Sang, Qi Wang, Yixin Gao, Yujuan Huang, Xinliang Yu, Jinrui Xiao, Huilin Zhu and Chaoran Cui
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Wenguang Yu: School of Insurance, Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan 250014, China
Fei Wang: School of Insurance, Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan 250014, China
Qianshun Sang: School of Public Finance and Taxation, Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan 250014, China
Qi Wang: School of Mathematic and Quantitative Economics, Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan 250014, China
Yixin Gao: School of Insurance, Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan 250014, China
Yujuan Huang: Scientific Office, Shandong Jiaotong University, Jinan 250357, China
Xinliang Yu: School of Insurance, Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan 250014, China
Jinrui Xiao: School of Insurance, Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan 250014, China
Huilin Zhu: School of Insurance, Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan 250014, China
Chaoran Cui: School of Computer Science & Technology, Shandong University of Finance and Economics, Jinan 250014, China

Mathematics, 2020, vol. 8, issue 12, 1-23

Abstract: Taking mortality distribution, surrender value, and tax relief factors into consideration, the authors construct an actuarial model for the influence of personal income tax deferred commercial pension insurance on changes in personal pension wealth and adopts a numerical simulation to deliver the corresponding changes in personal pension wealth to different initial insured age and different initial insured annual salary. In order to better measure the security level of the commercial pension insurance, the model for the net replacement rate of pension of the commercial pension insurance was further constructed. The results show that the effect of participating in the personal income tax deferred commercial pension insurance on the present value of personal pension wealth depends on the combined action of the initial insured age and the initial annual salary. Under the same insured age, because men retire later and work longer than women, men can obtain a higher accumulation of personal pension wealth than women. For insured persons with different income levels, high-income groups can obtain higher personal pension wealth growth, and although low-income groups cannot obtain higher personal pension wealth growth, they can obtain a significant increase in the pension replacement rate by participating in the insurance, thereby better guaranteeing their living standards after retirement. Regardless of the income level, tax relief can be obtained once participating in the insurance, but the value may vary. The optimal tax-saving age for men is 23 years old, and for women 25 years old.

Keywords: personal income tax deferred; personal pension wealth; pension replacement rate; tax savings rate (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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