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A Hidden Markov Model to Address Measurement Errors in Ordinal Response Scale and Non-Decreasing Process

Lizbeth Naranjo, Luz Judith R. Esparza and Carlos J. Pérez
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Lizbeth Naranjo: Departamento de Matemáticas, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, 04510 Ciudad de México, Mexico
Luz Judith R. Esparza: Departamento de Matemáticas y Física, Cátedra CONACyT, Universidad Autónoma de Aguascalientes, 20130 Aguascalientes, Mexico
Carlos J. Pérez: Departamento de Matemáticas, Facultad de Veterinaria, Universidad de Extremadura, 10003 Cáceres, Spain

Mathematics, 2020, vol. 8, issue 4, 1-12

Abstract: A Bayesian approach was developed, tested, and applied to model ordinal response data in monotone non-decreasing processes with measurement errors. An inhomogeneous hidden Markov model with continuous state-space was considered to incorporate measurement errors in the categorical response at the same time that the non-decreasing patterns were kept. The computational difficulties were avoided by including latent variables that allowed implementing an efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo method. A simulation-based analysis was carried out to validate the approach, whereas the proposed approach was applied to analyze aortic aneurysm progression data.

Keywords: Bayesian analysis; conditional independence; hidden Markov model; measurement error; misclassification; monotone continuous process; ordinal response (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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