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Physics-Informed Neural Networks and Functional Interpolation for Data-Driven Parameters Discovery of Epidemiological Compartmental Models

Enrico Schiassi, Mario De Florio, Andrea D’Ambrosio, Daniele Mortari and Roberto Furfaro
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Enrico Schiassi: Systems & Industrial Engineering, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA
Mario De Florio: Systems & Industrial Engineering, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA
Andrea D’Ambrosio: Systems & Industrial Engineering, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA
Daniele Mortari: Aerospace Engineering, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX 77843-3141, USA
Roberto Furfaro: Systems & Industrial Engineering, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA

Mathematics, 2021, vol. 9, issue 17, 1-17

Abstract: In this work, we apply a novel and accurate Physics-Informed Neural Network Theory of Functional Connections (PINN-TFC) based framework, called Extreme Theory of Functional Connections (X-TFC), for data-physics-driven parameters’ discovery of problems modeled via Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs). The proposed method merges the standard PINNs with a functional interpolation technique named Theory of Functional Connections (TFC). In particular, this work focuses on the capability of X-TFC in solving inverse problems to estimate the parameters governing the epidemiological compartmental models via a deterministic approach. The epidemiological compartmental models treated in this work are Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR), Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR), and Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered-Susceptible (SEIRS). The results show the low computational times, the high accuracy, and effectiveness of the X-TFC method in performing data-driven parameters’ discovery systems modeled via parametric ODEs using unperturbed and perturbed data.

Keywords: Physics-Informed Neural Networks; functional interpolation; Theory of Functional Connections; Extreme Learning Machine; epidemiological compartmental models; COVID-19 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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