Optimal Benefit Distribution of a Tontine-like Annuity Fund with Age-Structured Models

Fan Zhang, Ping Chen () and Xueyuan Wu
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Fan Zhang: Department of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC 3010, Australia
Ping Chen: Department of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC 3010, Australia
Xueyuan Wu: Department of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC 3010, Australia

Risks, 2024, vol. 13, issue 1, 1-27

Abstract: This paper introduces a tontine-like annuity fund designed to provide lifelong income to its participants. Initially, each member contributes a lump-sum payment into a trust fund as a joining premium. Participants then receive benefits over time, based on their survival. As members pass away, their share of payouts is redistributed among the survivors, resulting in increased payouts for those remaining. Differing from traditional tontines, which assume a uniform mortality risk, this fund accommodates participants of various ages and allows new members to join during its operation. To accommodate these features, the authors utilize age-structured models (ASMs) to determine fair premiums for new entrants and to analyze the dynamics of benefit distribution. The core objective of this paper is to develop a pension model using ASMs, recognizing its significant potential for adaptation and expansion. The primary mathematical approach employed is the Maximum Principle from optimal control theory, which helps in deriving explicit solutions for the optimal subsidy strategy. Through numerical examples and detailed illustrations, the paper demonstrates that participants who remain in the cohort longer receive greater subsidies. Additionally, the study finds that adverse shocks lead to a smaller population and thus fewer subsidies. Conversely, starting with a larger initial cohort population tends to increase the overall population, resulting in more subsidies. However, higher costs associated with subsidies lead to their reduction. Our analysis reveals the complex interplay of factors influencing the sustainability and effectiveness of the proposed annuity model.

Keywords: age-structured models; tontine; benefit distribution; maximum principle (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C G0 G1 G2 G3 K2 M2 M4 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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