Potential European Emissions Trajectories within the Global Carbon Budget

Ilaria Perissi, Sara Falsini, Ugo Bardi, Davide Natalini, Michael Green, Aled Jones and Jordi Solé
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Ilaria Perissi: Consorzio Interuniversitario Nazionale per la Scienza e la Tecnologia dei Materiali (INSTM), c/o Dipartimento di Chimica, Università degli Studi di Firenze, Via della Lastruccia 3, 50019 Sesto Fiorentino, Firenze, Italy
Sara Falsini: Consorzio Interuniversitario Nazionale per la Scienza e la Tecnologia dei Materiali (INSTM), c/o Dipartimento di Chimica, Università degli Studi di Firenze, Via della Lastruccia 3, 50019 Sesto Fiorentino, Firenze, Italy
Ugo Bardi: Consorzio Interuniversitario Nazionale per la Scienza e la Tecnologia dei Materiali (INSTM), c/o Dipartimento di Chimica, Università degli Studi di Firenze, Via della Lastruccia 3, 50019 Sesto Fiorentino, Firenze, Italy
Davide Natalini: Global Sustainability Institute, Anglia Ruskin University, East Road, Cambridge CB1-1PT, UK
Michael Green: Global Sustainability Institute, Anglia Ruskin University, East Road, Cambridge CB1-1PT, UK
Aled Jones: Global Sustainability Institute, Anglia Ruskin University, East Road, Cambridge CB1-1PT, UK
Jordi Solé: Institute of Marine Sciences (ICM-CSIC), Passeig Marítim de la Barceloneta 27–39, 08003 Barcelona, Spain

Sustainability, 2018, vol. 10, issue 11, 1-13

Abstract: The Paris Agreement, ratified in 2015, pledged to reduce greenhouse gas emissions within a Global Carbon Budget that limits the global temperature increase to less than 2 °C. With the Roadmap 2050 mitigation measures, the European Union has a target to reduce emissions by 80% of their 1990 value by 2050 but without giving an estimation or a maximum ceiling for the total amount of cumulative greenhouse gases emissions over that period. Thus, the impact of the EU regulations on global warming remains unestimated. The aim and the novelty of this study are to develop a set of potential European emissions trajectories, within the Global Carbon Budget and at the same time satisfying the Roadmap 2050 goals. The result of the study highlights the urgency to reinforce mitigation measures for Europe as soon as possible because any delay in policy implementation risks the Roadmap 2050 mitigation package being insufficient to achieve the objectives of the Paris treaty.

Keywords: carbon budget; greenhouse gases; decarbonization; climate change (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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